Recently I conducted a survey to determine the average success of my players. As I expressed in the report on findings, there was a very large difference in what players had achieved. Some literally earned millions over the course of many years, and some earned nothing. This ultimately is due to two main factors: where they play (the suitability of wheels), and their experience. An experienced player will exploit an edge on a wheel that an inexperienced player will not even notice. More detail about what players achieved is on an article at my site. This article is more to do with how many of the more successful players had achieved large winnings.
Roulette system without progression
Roulette systems that don’t use betting progression are called flat betting systems. The advantage of them is basically that it’s much harder to blow your bankroll, as opposed to progression systems that rely more on luck. With betting progression, you usually increase your bet size after losses, and hope that a lucky big win win win back your losses. But as I’ve highlighted in previous articles, all progression really does is change the amount you risk on an individual spin. For this reason, progression is generally useless. You cannot beat roulette unless you are first increasing the accuracy of predictions.
Positive progression free roulette systems
If you want a very simple progression-based roulette system, try betting red/black and increase your bet +1 unit if you lose. If you win, decrease your bet by -1 unit. It’s very simple and if you play in the short term, you will almost always win and pay for dinner. It sounds simple enough, but the problem is when you eventually hit the losing streak, and wipe out your bankroll while losing the winnings you had before. So if you adopt such a free roulette progression system, keep in mind you are using it with the hopes that the eventual losing streak wont happen eventually. And anyone can win in the short term. I’ve seen many systems survive over tens of thousands of spins, even though the system is clearly ineffective. Systems that do this usually rely on lucky large wins when the betting progression requires large bets. Alternatively, the system may survive by making infrequent bets. Again keep in mind that any system can win in the short term. But what if 10,000 players all used the same short term progress system? The overall winnings of the combined group of players will have lost. That’s what the house edge does.
Roulette negative progression strategy
When you start to lose, you can reduce the size of your bets. This will keep you at the table longer. But essentially all you are doing is changing the size of your bets. It isn’t going to help you win. It will at best keep you playing longer.
The best roulette progression
Usually I don’t advise any roulette betting progression because of reasons explained above. Also if you have a strong edge, you may be winning constantly. But if conditions change, you may start to lose. Then if at this point you use positive progression (increasing bet size), you will start to lose. But if your predictions are in the wrong area, then you will be betting larger amounts when the ball is potentially falling on the opposite side of your predictions.
When is progression acceptable? Only when you are absolutely certain you have an edge, and are maintaining it.
Getting back to mentioning results from my players. From the recent survey conducted, I found many of the more successful players were using betting progression in combination with either my system or roulette computers. These are experienced players that understand how to monitor their edge, and when it is safe to increase their bets.
I’ll give an example: if your strategy indicated you would statistically win about 90% of the time when betting 15 numbers, then you will very rarely be without a win for more than a few spins in a row. I use this example because this was the kind of accuracy achieved in the public roulette computer demo at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUqjvSvEnX8
In such a case, you can afford to have an agressive betting progression. For example, you can start by betting 1 unit for 3 spins. If you lose, then bet 2 units for another 3 spins. If you lose, then bet 3 units for another 3 spins, and so on. Of course if you still didn’t win once after 9 spins in this case, then something may be wrong, so you would need to know how to evaluate and monitor your edge. and you need to cap it at a reasonable amount.
The upside of such progression is not that it increases your edge. It is that you can leave sooner with your target amount. Because with a genuine winning system, the problem is more about being undetected. Plus of course the casino will often perceive your profits as being derrived from “lucky large bets”. Based on the survey I conducted, this is the progression strategy used by my most successful players. But again be very careful because it comes with the risk of blowing your bankroll if your edge is not carefully monitored, or if your progression is too aggressive for the size of your edge.