This article will discuss whether or not the Kavouras bet and roulette strategy works. Kavouras is the name of a person, hence the name “Kavouras” bet. Specifically it is his surname, and he has known on my roulette forums as “Kav”.
Before I continue, all make very clear I have no personal problem with him. But I’m sorry to say that I see absolutely no merit in the Kavorous bet or system at all. He does seem like a nice guy, and I haven’t read many of his articles, although it is clear his skill as a writer is much better than his knowledge of roulette.
Essentially it appears clear from his website that he is creating content to sell advertising, which is common to the Internet. But when it comes specifically to roulette, I have a problem with the false information that is spread about winning roulette. I mean you can write accurate information and still have traffic and sell advertising, and at least there it wouldn’t be a problem with this. But if you like junk content that offers no benefit, and mislead your readers, all then I suppose this is no different to the majority of websites on the Internet.
Anyway now I’ll explain more about the actual bet on the system itself, and why it won’t win you anything except from luck.
I’ll start with the intentions he specifies on his website.
Firstly he suggests betting 20 numbers, make playing less volatile. So far this is good, because even with advantage play techniques used by professionals, betting too few numbers can lead to long losing streaks even if you do have a statistical long-term advantage.
Secondly he says number should be scattered chaotically around the wheel. Specifically he states that we approached they chaotic roulette outcomes with chaotic bet selection. There is a big problem with this because he is saying with predict random outcomes with a random predictions. There is no logic at all with this. The only way to beat roulette is by increasing the accuracy predictions, not ensuring there is no accuracy at all.
Thirdly he says that not all the numbers have the same amount wagered. There is nothing necessarily wrong with this, but unless the accuracy predictions is increased in the first place, the strategy is going to fail from the start.
Fourthly he says that every win offers a profit. Generally yes, this is the case with most systems. But it is important to understand that a winning does not necessarily mean profiting, because the house edge ensures that even when you win, you still lose because you are paid an unfair amount. So the only way to overcome this is by increasing the accuracy predictions. For example, the payout for an individual win is 35 to 1, but there actual chances of winning on an individual spin are 37 to 1, at least on a European single zero wheel.
Unfortunately, this is about where his explanation of his strategy ends. The last piece appears to be an example of a bet selection, which appears to have no logic and is spread chaotically around the wheel. I say wheel because the table means absolutely nothing in relation to roulette, because it has absolutely no influence on where the ball lands, and therefore no influence on the actual winning number. The only way to beat roulette is by predicting the winning number based on sectors or areas of the wheel. And if bets are placed without any kind of structure around the physical wheel, the new are guaranteed to lose.
Essentially, unless the Kavouras bet strategy involves a specific bet selection approach that matches predicted areas of the wheel where the ball is likely to fall, then it is essentially no different to most other systems. Again I have nothing personal against Kavouras, but he doesn’t appear to have any significant experience with professional methods for roulette that actually work.